Peace Process and Anti-Corruption-Related Investigations Likely to Heavily Influence Colombian Political Outlook Ahead of 2018 Presidential Election
- Top presidential contenders for the 2018 presidential election include the government’s top peace negotiator Humberto de la Calle, and former Medellín mayor Sergio Fajardo.
- A second-round run-off presidential vote is anticipated, with a pro-peace candidate likely to face a rival advocating a stricter approach to former insurgents.
- An eventual victory for critics of the Fuerzas Armadas Revolucionarias de Colombia (FARC) deal could lead to the rollback of some elements of the peace deal, but would be unlikely to lead to its wholesale revocation.
The enduring support of [Alvaro] Uribe – who headed up the successful campaign to defeat an earlier version of the peace deal at a referendum in October 2016 – together with the continued discontent of many Colombians with the peace process, means that the CD party’s eventual candidate is likely to reach an anticipated second-round run-off for the presidency. IHS Jane’s 360
Pictured: President Juan Manuel Santos and VP Germán Vargas Lleras, possible 2018 contender